BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Fort Dodge

Class: 4A Class Rank: 20 Conference: 4A-1 Record: (5-13-0) Overall: (46-49-0) Overall Strength =   87.77

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/26/2011 Away    W      88.30  28  19   4A 30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East         0.74      8.26                      
 2 09/02/2011 Home    L * *  87.49  14  25   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              -0.07    -10.93                      
 3 09/09/2011 Home    L * *  45.83  21  37   4A 35 ( 21- 71-  0) Sioux City North      -41.73     25.73                      
 4 09/16/2011 Home    L * *  80.57   7  47   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            -6.98    -33.02                      
 5 09/23/2011 Away    W      98.70  28  20   4A 19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                   11.14     -3.14                      
 6 09/30/2011 Away    W      95.48  24   0   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City              7.92     16.08                      
 7 10/07/2011 Home    L      92.46  17  33   4A  4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                  4.90    -20.90                      
 8 10/14/2011 Away    L      70.36  14  24   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -17.20      7.20                      
 9 10/21/2011 Home    L      79.88  10  49   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             -7.68    -31.32                      
10 10/26/2011 Away    L      56.79   0  54   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -30.77    -23.23                      
11 08/24/2012 Home    L * *  70.49  14  42   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale             -17.07    -10.93                      
12 08/31/2012 Away    L      50.99   7  48   4A 17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East       -36.57     -4.43                      
13 09/07/2012 Home    L      39.79  15  52   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -47.77     10.77                      
14 09/14/2012 Away    W      82.48  28  17   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             -5.08     16.08                      
15 09/21/2012 Home    L      77.12  28  38   4A 19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                  -10.44      0.44                      
16 09/28/2012 Away    W      75.73  36   7   4A 40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North      -11.83     40.83                      
17 10/05/2012 Home    L      62.23   0  37   4A 11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston              -25.33    -11.67                      
18 10/12/2012 Away    L      63.79   8  55   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -23.77    -23.23                      
19 10/19/2012 Away    W * *  68.40  29  26   4A 35 ( 21- 71-  0) Sioux City North      -19.16     22.16                      
20 10/24/2012 Away    L      79.45  13  56   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             -8.11    -34.89                      
21 08/30/2013 Away    L * *  60.06  21  63   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale             -27.50    -14.50  NC                  
22 09/06/2013 Home    L      51.41   7  44   4A 17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East       -36.15     -0.85  NC                  
23 09/13/2013 Away    W      94.36  27  13   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown            6.80      7.20  NC                  
24 09/20/2013 Home    W      70.91  24  21   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City            -16.65     19.65  NC                  
25 09/27/2013 Away    L      49.70  21  62   4A 19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                  -37.86     -3.14                      
26 10/04/2013 Home    W      71.16  43  15   4A 40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North      -16.40     44.40                      
27 10/11/2013 Away    L      62.80  15  55   4A 11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston              -24.76    -15.24                      
28 10/18/2013 Home    L      93.22  14  28   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                  5.66    -19.66                      
29 10/25/2013 Home    L * *  38.83  39  62   4A 35 ( 21- 71-  0) Sioux City North      -48.73     25.73                      
30 08/29/2014 Away    W      99.20  57  13   4A 39 ( 14- 77-  0) Sioux City West        11.64     32.36                      
31 09/04/2014 Away    L * *  58.40  29  36   4A 35 ( 21- 71-  0) Sioux City North      -29.16     22.16                      
32 09/12/2014 Home    W      99.36  52  33   4A 25 ( 36- 57-  0) Waterloo West          11.80      7.20                      
33 09/19/2014 Home    W      98.11  36   0   3A 51 ( 17- 75-  0) Waterloo East          10.55     25.45                      
34 09/26/2014 Away    W      88.48  23   6   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City              0.92     16.08                      
35 10/03/2014 Home    W     105.90  31  13   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola              18.35     -0.35                      
36 10/10/2014 Away    W     105.36  25   0   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           17.80      7.20                      
37 10/17/2014 Home    L      75.46  14  47   4A  4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                -12.10    -20.90                      
38 10/24/2014 Away    L * *  97.06  37  42   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale               9.50    -14.50                      
39 10/29/2014 Away    L      90.54  15  37   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk          2.98    -24.98                      
40 08/28/2015 Home    W      91.63  48   8   4A 39 ( 14- 77-  0) Sioux City West         4.07     35.93  ND                  
41 09/04/2015 Home    W * * 130.83  69   0   4A 35 ( 21- 71-  0) Sioux City North       43.27     25.73  ND                  
42 09/11/2015 Away    W     123.93  47   7   4A 25 ( 36- 57-  0) Waterloo West          36.37      3.63  ND                  
43 09/18/2015 Away    W     112.68  47   0   3A 51 ( 17- 75-  0) Waterloo East          25.12     21.88  ND                  
44 09/25/2015 Home    W     117.91  56   6   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             30.35     19.65                      
45 10/02/2015 Away    W     104.48  49  36   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola              16.92     -3.92                      
46 10/09/2015 Home    W     118.79  42   0   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           31.23     10.77                      
47 10/16/2015 Away    L     109.03  28  31   4A  4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                 21.47    -24.47                      
48 10/23/2015 Home    L * *  78.49  32  52   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              -9.07    -10.93                      
49 10/28/2015 Away    L      70.54   0  42   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk        -17.02    -24.98                      
50 08/26/2016 Home    L      89.67   6  20   4A  9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls             2.11    -16.11  ND                  
51 09/01/2016 Away    W * *  81.40  16   0   4A 35 ( 21- 71-  0) Sioux City North       -6.16     22.16  ND                  
52 09/09/2016 Home    W      80.91  25  12   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             -6.65     19.65  ND                  
53 09/16/2016 Away    W      97.70  28  21   4A 19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                   10.14     -3.14  ND                  
54 09/23/2016 Away    L      73.45   0  49   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -14.11    -34.89                      
55 09/30/2016 Home    W      99.87  43  21   3A 34 ( 43- 49-  0) Newton                 12.31      9.69                      
56 10/07/2016 Away    L      53.36   7  34   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -34.20      7.20                      
57 10/14/2016 Home    L      80.90  20  27   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola              -6.65     -0.35                      
58 10/21/2016 Away    L      82.54  22  52   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         -5.02    -24.98                      
59 08/25/2017 Away    L      59.24   7  55   4A  9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls           -28.32    -19.68  ND                  
60 09/01/2017 Home    W * * 117.83  56   0   4A 35 ( 21- 71-  0) Sioux City North       30.27     25.73  ND                  
61 09/08/2017 Away    W     112.48  47   6   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             24.92     16.08  ND                  
62 09/15/2017 Home    W      97.12  62  52   4A 19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                    9.56      0.44  ND                  
63 09/22/2017 Home    L      73.88  14  59   4A  2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -13.68    -31.32                      
64 09/29/2017 Away    L      80.44  70  71   3A 34 ( 43- 49-  0) Newton                 -7.12      6.12                      
65 10/07/2017 Home    W     113.79  49  12   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           26.23     10.77  was 10/06 now 10/07 
66 10/13/2017 Away    L      88.48  32  35   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola               0.92     -3.92                      
67 10/20/2017 Home    L      63.97   7  52   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk        -23.59    -21.41                      
68 08/24/2018 Away    W     119.48  48   0   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             31.92     16.08  ND                  
69 08/31/2018 Home    W     115.12  52  24   4A 19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                   27.56      0.44  ND                  
70 09/07/2018 Away    L      85.48  21  27   4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola              -2.08     -3.92  ND                  
71 09/14/2018 Home    W     122.56  35   7   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                35.00     -7.00  ND                  
72 09/21/2018 Away    W     113.54  22  21   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         25.98    -24.98                      
73 09/28/2018 Home    W * * 108.20  51  13   4A 32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   20.65     17.35                      
74 10/05/2018 Home    L     100.19  44  49   4A  7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      12.63    -17.63                      
75 10/12/2018 Away    W     110.20  68  13   4A 39 ( 14- 77-  0) Sioux City West        22.64     32.36                      
76 10/19/2018 Away    W     120.36  46   6   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           32.80      7.20                      
77 10/26/2018 Neutral L * *  81.36   0  41   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            -6.20    -34.80                      
78 08/30/2019 Home    W     132.91  65   0   3A 45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             45.35     19.65  ND                  
79 09/06/2019 Away    W     125.70  42   7   4A 19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                   38.14     -3.14  ND                  
80 09/13/2019 Home    W      94.90  28  21 1 4A 18 ( 48- 49-  0) Indianola               7.35     -0.35                      
81 09/20/2019 Away    W     124.13  36  10   3A 13 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                36.57    -10.57  ND                  
82 09/27/2019 Home    L     105.97  21  24   4A  3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         18.41    -21.41                      
83 10/04/2019 Away    L * *  71.78  14  16   4A 32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt  -15.78     13.78                      
84 10/11/2019 Away    L      81.76  29  56   4A  7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      -5.80    -21.20                      
85 10/18/2019 Home    W     108.63  57   0   4A 39 ( 14- 77-  0) Sioux City West        21.07     35.93                      
86 10/25/2019 Home    W      80.79  21  17   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           -6.77     10.77                      
87 11/01/2019 Away    L      43.99   6  63   4A 13 ( 65- 41-  0) CR Kennedy            -43.56    -13.44                      
88 08/28/2020 Home    W     114.12  81  54   4A 19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                   26.56      0.44                      
89 09/04/2020 Neutral W     106.20  36  20   4A 17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East        18.64     -2.64  ND                  
90 09/11/2020 Home    L      73.22  18  52   4A  5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -14.34    -19.66                      
91 09/18/2020 Away    W      87.36  35  28   4A 27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           -0.20      7.20                      
92 09/25/2020 Away    L * *  88.06  28  42   4A 12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale               0.50    -14.50                      
93 10/02/2020 Home    L      74.41   6  20   4A 17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East       -13.15     -0.85                      
94 10/08/2020 Away    L * *  89.15  14  49   4A  1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling             1.59    -36.59  was 10/09 now 10/08 
95 10/23/2020 Away    L      76.93  17  24   4A 25 ( 36- 57-  0) Waterloo West         -10.63      3.63                      
      Averages              87.77  28.9 28.8

Best game:  132.91 = 65 point win over Mason City
Worst game:  38.83 = 23 point loss to Sioux City North
Team stdev:  22.19