BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Fort Dodge

Class: 4A Class Rank: 20 Conference: 4A-1 Record: (5-13-0) Overall: (46-49-0) Overall Strength =   87.66

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Away    W    88.17  28  19   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East         0.73      8.27                      
  2 09/02/2011 Home    L *  87.39  14  25   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              -0.05    -10.95                      
  3 09/09/2011 Home    L *  45.73  21  37   4A  35 ( 22- 70-  0) Sioux City North      -41.72     25.72                      
  4 09/16/2011 Home    L *  80.48   7  47   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            -6.97    -33.03                      
  5 09/23/2011 Away    W    98.57  28  20   4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                   11.12     -3.12                      
  6 09/30/2011 Away    W    95.35  24   0   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City              7.91     16.09                      
  7 10/07/2011 Home    L    92.37  17  33   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                  4.92    -20.92                      
  8 10/14/2011 Away    L    70.23  14  24   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -17.21      7.21                      
  9 10/21/2011 Home    L    79.79  10  49   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             -7.66    -31.34                      
 10 10/26/2011 Away    L    56.66   0  54   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -30.79    -23.21                      
 11 08/24/2012 Home    L *  70.39  14  42   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale             -17.05    -10.95                      
 12 08/31/2012 Away    L    50.86   7  48   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East       -36.59     -4.41                      
 13 09/07/2012 Home    L    39.69  15  52   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -47.76     10.76                      
 14 09/14/2012 Away    W    82.35  28  17   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             -5.09     16.09                      
 15 09/21/2012 Home    L    77.03  28  38   4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                  -10.42      0.42                      
 16 09/28/2012 Away    W    75.61  36   7   4A  40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North      -11.84     40.84                      
 17 10/05/2012 Home    L    62.14   0  37   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston              -25.31    -11.69                      
 18 10/12/2012 Away    L    63.66   8  55   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -23.79    -23.21                      
 19 10/19/2012 Away    W *  68.27  29  26   4A  35 ( 22- 70-  0) Sioux City North      -19.17     22.17                      
 20 10/24/2012 Away    L    79.33  13  56   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             -8.12    -34.88                      
 21 08/30/2013 Away    L *  59.94  21  63   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale             -27.51    -14.49  NC                  
 22 09/06/2013 Home    L    51.31   7  44   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East       -36.13     -0.87  NC                  
 23 09/13/2013 Away    W    94.23  27  13   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown            6.79      7.21  NC                  
 24 09/20/2013 Home    W    70.81  24  21   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City            -16.64     19.64  NC                  
 25 09/27/2013 Away    L    49.57  21  62   4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                  -37.88     -3.12                      
 26 10/04/2013 Home    W    71.06  43  15   4A  40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North      -16.38     44.38                      
 27 10/11/2013 Away    L    62.68  15  55   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston              -24.77    -15.23                      
 28 10/18/2013 Home    L    93.12  14  28   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                  5.67    -19.67                      
 29 10/25/2013 Home    L *  38.73  39  62   4A  35 ( 22- 70-  0) Sioux City North      -48.72     25.72                      
 30 08/29/2014 Away    W    99.07  57  13   4A  39 ( 12- 79-  0) Sioux City West        11.62     32.38                      
 31 09/04/2014 Away    L *  58.27  29  36   4A  35 ( 22- 70-  0) Sioux City North      -29.17     22.17                      
 32 09/12/2014 Home    W    99.26  52  33   4A  25 ( 36- 57-  0) Waterloo West          11.81      7.19                      
 33 09/19/2014 Home    W    98.01  36   0   3A  51 ( 17- 75-  0) Waterloo East          10.56     25.44                      
 34 09/26/2014 Away    W    88.35  23   6   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City              0.91     16.09                      
 35 10/03/2014 Home    W   105.81  31  13   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola              18.36     -0.36                      
 36 10/10/2014 Away    W   105.23  25   0   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           17.79      7.21                      
 37 10/17/2014 Home    L    75.37  14  47   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                -12.08    -20.92                      
 38 10/24/2014 Away    L *  96.94  37  42   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale               9.49    -14.49                      
 39 10/29/2014 Away    L    90.41  15  37   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk          2.97    -24.97                      
 40 08/28/2015 Home    W    91.53  48   8   4A  39 ( 12- 79-  0) Sioux City West         4.08     35.92  ND                  
 41 09/04/2015 Home    W * 130.73  69   0   4A  35 ( 22- 70-  0) Sioux City North       43.28     25.72  ND                  
 42 09/11/2015 Away    W   123.80  47   7   4A  25 ( 36- 57-  0) Waterloo West          36.36      3.64  ND                  
 43 09/18/2015 Away    W   112.55  47   0   3A  51 ( 17- 75-  0) Waterloo East          25.11     21.89  ND                  
 44 09/25/2015 Home    W   117.81  56   6   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             30.36     19.64                      
 45 10/02/2015 Away    W   104.35  49  36   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola              16.90     -3.90                      
 46 10/09/2015 Home    W   118.69  42   0   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           31.24     10.76                      
 47 10/16/2015 Away    L   108.91  28  31   4A   4 ( 79- 31-  0) Waukee                 21.46    -24.46                      
 48 10/23/2015 Home    L *  78.39  32  52   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale              -9.05    -10.95                      
 49 10/28/2015 Away    L    70.41   0  42   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk        -17.03    -24.97                      
 50 08/26/2016 Home    L    89.57   6  20   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls             2.13    -16.13  ND                  
 51 09/01/2016 Away    W *  81.27  16   0   4A  35 ( 22- 70-  0) Sioux City North       -6.17     22.17  ND                  
 52 09/09/2016 Home    W    80.81  25  12   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             -6.64     19.64  ND                  
 53 09/16/2016 Away    W    97.57  28  21   4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                   10.12     -3.12  ND                  
 54 09/23/2016 Away    L    73.33   0  49   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -14.12    -34.88                      
 55 09/30/2016 Home    W    99.77  43  21   3A  34 ( 43- 49-  0) Newton                 12.32      9.68                      
 56 10/07/2016 Away    L    53.23   7  34   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown          -34.21      7.21                      
 57 10/14/2016 Home    L    80.81  20  27   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola              -6.64     -0.36                      
 58 10/21/2016 Away    L    82.41  22  52   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         -5.03    -24.97                      
 59 08/25/2017 Away    L    59.12   7  55   4A   9 ( 85- 25-  0) Cedar Falls           -28.33    -19.67  ND                  
 60 09/01/2017 Home    W * 117.73  56   0   4A  35 ( 22- 70-  0) Sioux City North       30.28     25.72  ND                  
 61 09/08/2017 Away    W   112.35  47   6   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             24.91     16.09  ND                  
 62 09/15/2017 Home    W    97.03  62  52   4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                    9.58      0.42  ND                  
 63 09/22/2017 Home    L    73.79  14  59   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -13.66    -31.34                      
 64 09/29/2017 Away    L    80.31  70  71   3A  34 ( 43- 49-  0) Newton                 -7.14      6.14                      
 65 10/07/2017 Home    W   113.69  49  12   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           26.24     10.76  was 10/06 now 10/07 
 66 10/13/2017 Away    L    88.35  32  35   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola               0.90     -3.90                      
 67 10/20/2017 Home    L    63.87   7  52   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk        -23.58    -21.42                      
 68 08/24/2018 Away    W   119.35  48   0   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             31.91     16.09  ND                  
 69 08/31/2018 Home    W   115.03  52  24   4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                   27.58      0.42  ND                  
 70 09/07/2018 Away    L    85.35  21  27   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola              -2.10     -3.90  ND                  
 71 09/14/2018 Home    W   122.46  35   7   3A  14 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                35.01     -7.01  ND                  
 72 09/21/2018 Away    W   113.41  22  21   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         25.97    -24.97                      
 73 09/28/2018 Home    W * 108.11  51  13   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   20.66     17.34                      
 74 10/05/2018 Home    L   100.10  44  49   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      12.65    -17.65                      
 75 10/12/2018 Away    W   110.07  68  13   4A  39 ( 12- 79-  0) Sioux City West        22.62     32.38                      
 76 10/19/2018 Away    W   120.23  46   6   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           32.79      7.21                      
 77 10/26/2018 Neutral L *  81.25   0  41   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            -6.20    -34.80                      
 78 08/30/2019 Home    W   132.81  65   0   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             45.36     19.64  ND                  
 79 09/06/2019 Away    W   125.57  42   7   4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                   38.12     -3.12  ND                  
 80 09/13/2019 Home    W    94.81  28  21 1 4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola               7.36     -0.36                      
 81 09/20/2019 Away    W   124.00  36  10   3A  14 ( 65- 38-  0) Carroll                36.56    -10.56  ND                  
 82 09/27/2019 Home    L   105.87  21  24   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         18.42    -21.42                      
 83 10/04/2019 Away    L *  71.65  14  16   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt  -15.80     13.80                      
 84 10/11/2019 Away    L    81.64  29  56   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      -5.81    -21.19                      
 85 10/18/2019 Home    W   108.53  57   0   4A  39 ( 12- 79-  0) Sioux City West        21.08     35.92                      
 86 10/25/2019 Home    W    80.69  21  17   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           -6.76     10.76                      
 87 11/01/2019 Away    L    43.87   6  63   4A  13 ( 65- 41-  0) CR Kennedy            -43.58    -13.42                      
 88 08/28/2020 Home    W   114.03  81  54   4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                   26.58      0.42                      
 89 09/04/2020 Neutral W   106.09  36  20   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East        18.64     -2.64  ND                  
 90 09/11/2020 Home    L    73.12  18  52   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -14.33    -19.67                      
 91 09/18/2020 Away    W    87.23  35  28   4A  27 ( 35- 58-  0) Marshalltown           -0.21      7.21                      
 92 09/25/2020 Away    L *  87.94  28  42   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale               0.49    -14.49                      
 93 10/02/2020 Home    L    74.31   6  20   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East       -13.13     -0.87                      
 94 10/08/2020 Away    L *  89.02  14  49   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling             1.57    -36.57  was 10/09 now 10/08 
 95 10/23/2020 Away    L    76.80  17  24   4A  25 ( 36- 57-  0) Waterloo West         -10.64      3.64                      
      Averages              87.66  28.9 28.8

Best game:  132.81 = 65 point win over Mason City
Worst game:  38.73 = 23 point loss to Sioux City North
Team stdev:  22.19